NewMacroeconomic Forecasting for the Public Sector and Civil Service

This five-day programme developed by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) aims to equip participants with a skill set and tools in macroeconomic forecasting and modelling and is targeted at those who already have a background in statistics and econometrics at undergraduate level. 

NIESR and Civil Service College have collaborated to offer this comprehensive course which will examine the possible economic landscape post-Covid and the forecasting and evaluation tools which can help steer public bodies and sector organisations through this period. Positioning will be broad-ranging and explore the economic implications and challenges from a wide range of different perspectives and include visits to either the Bank of England or the London Stock Exchange. Provide some certainty in a changing world where every economist will say something different, with access to valuable resources which will create a solid framework to navigate the post-Covid age.

The course will be delivered by an international team, comprising economists from the UK, Europe, Asia,  Africa, and the Caribbean.

Programme Director: Dr Corrado Macchiarelli, Principal Economist, NIESR

Course coordinator: Dr Xuxin Mao

Delivery team: Dr Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Dr Hande Küçük, Dr Kemar Whyte, Cyrille Lenoel, Janine Boshoff

Key features:

• Key skills in macroeconomic forecasting and modelling
• The global impact of different Brexit scenarios
• Real-world techniques and practices applied to a variety of situations
• Examine economic forecasting country models for 36 OECD countries
• How to construct a macroeconometric model using the National Institute Global Economic Model (NiGEM) employed by leading policymakers and the private sector for economic forecasting
• What-if exercises using global macroeconomic models
• Understanding of a quantified framework for how economies work and interact, particularly China vs. the US
• Tools to help assess risk, policy responses and wider consequences
• How to handle tools which are multi-faceted and which can be adjusted and adapted for different applications

Designed for:

All government officials are welcome to attend. The course is particularly relevant for officials involved in developing forecasts that are used to design and implement macroeconomic policy. Participants are expected to have a background in undergraduate statistics, macroeconomics and basic econometrics. The course is offered in English.

Learning Outcomes:

• The acquisition of forecasting skills and tool to inform your decision-making about the future condition of the economy and how it will impact your area by using accredited and commonly employed indicators
• Skills and tools to help anticipate the outlook for inflation, the UK forecast, global GDP growth and various sceniaros (Brexit, Covid-19, US-China trade war, climate change etc.)
• Studying and learning face-to-face and collaboratively will make real sense of the application of these tools alongside other Civil Service colleagues
• Enjoy debate and group presentations to test the application of your knowledge in a safe learning environment
• An appreciation and clear evaluation of the benefits of using NiGEM
• Establishing a long-term and supportive collaboration with NIESR

If you would like this programme to be delivered in your country, please contact our International Programme Manager, Andrea Davis via andrea@civilservicecollege.org.uk for more information.

Learning resources:

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